Pairwise expert Jim Dahl of SiouxSports.com has run all the scenarios — yes, all 393,216 of them — and determined every team’s probability of reaching the NCAA tournament.
He has it nicely posted here.
UND is one of seven teams that has a 100 percent probability of making the NCAA tournament, meaning UND will be in a regional for the 11th year in a row. If Michigan does not win the CCHA tournament, UND will have the longest streak of NCAA appearances in the country.
Other locks for the NCAAs include Quinnipiac, Minnesota, Miami, Boston College, UMass-Lowell and New Hampshire.
Quinnipiac will be the No. 1 overall seed. Minnesota will be the No. 2 overall seed.
Three other WCHA teams are virtual locks for the NCAAs, too. Minnesota State-Mankato (99.7 percent), Denver (98 percent) and St. Cloud State (94.1 percent) all are in prime position to join Minnesota and UND.
Wisconsin is a wildcard that could be the sixth team in. The Badgers need to beat Minnesota State on Thursday afternoon to have any hope.