Pairwise expert Jim Dahl of SiouxSports.com has run all the scenarios — yes, all 393,216 of them — and determined every team’s probability of reaching the NCAA tournament.

He has it nicely posted here.

UND is one of seven teams that has a 100 percent probability of making the NCAA tournament, meaning UND will be in a regional for the 11th year in a row. If Michigan does not win the CCHA tournament, UND will have the longest streak of NCAA appearances in the country.

Other locks for the NCAAs include Quinnipiac, Minnesota, Miami, Boston College, UMass-Lowell and New Hampshire.

Quinnipiac will be the No. 1 overall seed. Minnesota will be the No. 2 overall seed.

Three other WCHA teams are virtual locks for the NCAAs, too. Minnesota State-Mankato (99.7 percent), Denver (98 percent) and St. Cloud State (94.1 percent) all are in prime position to join Minnesota and UND.

Wisconsin is a wildcard that could be the sixth team in. The Badgers need to beat Minnesota State on Thursday afternoon to have any hope.

I can only assume Jim is a math-wiz. Is he like an engineer type?

CC is going to be playing with some desperation in their game on Thursday night. A loss by CC makes an NCAA berth pretty tough. ND needs to match the effort they put out on Sunday night.

Thanks Jim for doing all the calculations!

ummm archie….he just said the Sioux are a lock meaning win or lose they are in.

Hmm it seems like your site ate my first comment (it was extremely long) so I guess I’ll just sum it up what I had written and say, I’m thoroughly enjoying your blog.

I too am an aspiring blog blogger but I’m still new to the whole thing. Do you have any helpful hints for novice blog writers? I’d certainly appreciate it.