UND is at No. 13 in the Pairwise Rankings after the first round of the playoffs and will definitely need to win at least one game at the NCHC Frozen Faceoff in order to make the NCAA tournament for a 12th straight year.
There’s a very good chance that UND will need to win both games to get in.
If the dominoes fall right, there is the possibility of UND getting in with just one win in Minneapolis, though (whether it be the semis or in the third-place game).
If you want to do some scoreboard watching this weekend, here’s what you need to know (based on my calculations) if UND is to get into the NCAAs with only one win in Minneapolis:
1. Union and Quinnipiac in ECAC
The ECAC tournament will be the No. 1 follow. UND really needs Union and Quinnipiac to win in their semifinal games Friday. Union plays Cornell. Quinnipiac plays Colgate. If BOTH Union and Quinnipiac win, it would help UND. If even one of them loses, it’s a tough spot.
2. Bowling Green over Mankato
If Bowling Green beats Mankato… AND Ferris goes on to win the WCHA, it would open up some more doors for UND.
3. Penn State over Michigan
If Penn State knocks off Michigan on Thursday afternoon, it would be big for UND. Michigan has already lost to Penn State twice this season. I don’t see it happening a third time.
4. Anybody but New Hampshire (or Ohio State, Penn State, Michigan State)
No reason really to follow Hockey East with the exception of needing New Hampshire to lose somewhere along the way so the Wildcats don’t take up a tourney spot. UND also doesn’t want to see the Buckeyes, Nittany Lions or Spartans winning Big 10. AHA doesn’t affect UND.
If you’re bored, check out the College Hockey News device and let me know if you come up with anything else interesting.